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New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
5
vs
Devils logo
Devils
New Jersey
4
CHI 56%44% NJD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Blackhawks 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: CHI 52% (−4)

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VenuePPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Devils (away)
Blackhawks (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blackhawks defeated the Devils 5-4.

Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Blackhawks (0 out) vs New Jersey Devils (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blackhawks won 5-4

Blackhawks won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blackhawks at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NJD
CHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours NJD|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/8/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Devils

David RittichG
Nico DawsG
Jake AllenG
Remi PoirierG
Cody GlassC

Blackhawks

Spencer KnightG
Arvid SoderblomG
Dave NozzolilloG
Mitchell WeeksG
Ryan GreeneC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blackhawks has a 56% win probability, while Devils has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.

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