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Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
2
vs
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
6
CAR 54%46% MTL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueLenovo Center
Raleigh, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Canadiens (away)
Hurricanes (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Canadiens defeated the Hurricanes 6-2.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 54% confidence, but the Canadiens pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens rest advantage (3 days rest) over Hurricanes (12 days rest)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Canadiens won 2-6

Canadiens won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 54%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MTL
CAR
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours MTL|Favours CAR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/21/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Canadiens

Sam MontembeaultG
Kaapo KahkonenG
Jacob FowlerG
Jakub DobesG
Jake EvansC

Hurricanes

Brandon BussiG
Frederik AndersenG
Pyotr KochetkovG
Jordan StaalC
Logan StankovenC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Hurricanes has a 54% win probability, while Canadiens has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

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