Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Rest Days. Hurricanes rest advantage (1 day rest) over Canadiens (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the rest edge were neutral: CAR 56% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 58% (−4)
Win probability movement
CAR home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canadiens defeated the Hurricanes 3-1.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 62% confidence, but the Canadiens won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Hurricanes and was a major factor: Hurricanes rest advantage (1 day rest) over Canadiens (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canadiens won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Hurricanes rest advantage (1 day rest) over Canadiens (back-to-back)
1 factor
Key Players
Canadiens
Hurricanes
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hurricanes has a 62% win probability, while Canadiens has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.