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Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
3
vs
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
2
DET 56%44% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Detroit Red Wings 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Red Wings:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 52% (−4)

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VenueBall Arena
Denver, CO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wild (away)
Red Wings (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Red Wings defeated the Wild 3-2.

Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Rest days data not available
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Red Wings won 3-2

Red Wings won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Red Wings at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/8/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Wild

Calvin PickardG
Filip GustavssonG
Jesper WallstedtG
Chase WutzkeG
Cal PetersenG

Red Wings

Michal PostavaG
Daniil TarasovG
John GibsonG
Michael RasmussenC
Mason AppletonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Red Wings has a 56% win probability, while Wild has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.

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