PlayDecoded
Menu

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
9
vs
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
6
COL 55%45% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueBall Arena
Denver, CO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wild (away)
Avalanche (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Avalanche defeated the Wild 9-6.

Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Avalanche and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Wild and was a contributing factor: Wild rest advantage (3 days rest) over Avalanche (7 days rest)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Avalanche won 9-6

Avalanche won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Avalanche at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
COL
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours MIN|Favours COL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Avalanche

Our Model55%

Wild

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/3/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Wild

Riley MercerG
Filip GustavssonG
Cal PetersenG
Jesper WallstedtG
Chase WutzkeG

Avalanche

Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Scott WedgewoodG
Isak PoschG
Ivan IvanC
Nazem KadriC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Avalanche has a 55% win probability, while Wild has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.

View all NHL games