Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Bruins:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days. Bruins rest advantage (2 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: BOS 54% (−4)
- If the rest edge were neutral: BOS 56% (−2)
Win probability movement
BOS home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bruins defeated the Wild 6-3.
Our model predicted the Bruins would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Bruins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days favored the Bruins and was a contributing factor: Bruins rest advantage (2 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bruins won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Bruins
- Rest DaysFavors Boston Bruins
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Wild
Bruins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bruins has a 58% win probability, while Wild has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.