Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Canucks:
- Home Field Advantage. Canucks are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: VAN 48% (−3)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: VAN 54% (+3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: VAN 53% (+2)
Win probability movement
VAN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kings defeated the Canucks 4-0.
Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 51% confidence, but the Kings won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Canucks are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Kings and was a contributing factor: Kings defense (2.9 Opp PPG) better than Canucks (3.7 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Kings and was a contributing factor: Kings (25-22) in better form than Canucks (19-36)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kings won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Los Angeles Kings
- Recent FormFavors Los Angeles Kings
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Kings
Canucks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canucks has a 51% win probability, while Kings has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.