Los Angeles Kings at Utah Utah Hockey Club
Utah Utah Hockey Club 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:
- Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency. Utah Hockey Club offense (3.2 PPG) outpaces Kings (2.6 PPG)
- Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (33-25) in better form than Kings (25-22)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 56% (−5)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: UTA 57% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: UTA 58% (−3)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: UTA 59% (−2)
Win probability movement
UTA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Kings 4-3.
Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Utah Hockey Club are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club offense (3.2 PPG) outpaces Kings (2.6 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (33-25) in better form than Kings (25-22)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Utah Hockey Club won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Kings
Utah Hockey Club
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Utah Hockey Club has a 61% win probability, while Kings has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.