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Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Sharks logo
Sharks
San Jose
5
vs
Kings logo
Kings
Los Angeles
4
SJS 53%47% LAK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

San Jose Sharks 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Sharks:

  • Recent Form. Sharks (1-0) in better form than Kings (0-1)
  • Home Field Advantage. Sharks are 2-1 at home this season; Kings are 1-1 on the road

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VenueSAP Center at San Jose
San Jose, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kings (away)
Sharks (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
1
High-impact factors
1
4
Players ruled out
6

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Sharks defeated the Kings 5-4.

Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Kings and was a major factor: Kings healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favored the Sharks and was a major factor: Sharks (1-0) in better form than Kings (0-1)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a notable factor: Sharks are 2-1 at home this season; Kings are 1-1 on the road
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sharks have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Kings have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Sharks won 5-4

Sharks won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Sharks at 53%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • Recent FormFavors San Jose Sharks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
  • ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAK
SJS
Injuries
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Favours LAK|Favours SJS

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Sharks

Our Model53%

Kings

Our Model47%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Recent Form

Sharks (1-0) in better form than Kings (0-1)

Sharks

Turnover Differential

Sharks turnover differential (+0) vs Kings (+0)

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

Defensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Offensive Efficiency

Offensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Injuries

Kings healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 6 out, 0 doubtful

Kings
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 1:45:01 AM

Sharks

Alex Barre-BouletC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Cam LundC(Upper Body)
OUT
Kyle KeyserG(Upper Body)
OUT
Quentin MustyLW(Upper Body)
OUT
Patrick GilesRW(Upper Body)
OUT
Adam GaudetteRW(Upper Body)
OUT

Kings

Jan JenikC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jakub DvorakD(Upper Body)
OUT
Otto SalinD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Kevin FialaLW(Lower Leg)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Sharks has a 53% win probability, while Kings has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.

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