PlayDecoded
Menu

Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
6
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
2
SEA 56%44% FLA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: SEA 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

SEA home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Mar 14Mar 15

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Kraken (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kraken defeated the Panthers 6-2.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kraken won 6-2

Kraken won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Kraken at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

FLA
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Favours FLA|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/15/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Panthers

Jacob MarkstromG
Akira SchmidG
Cooper BlackG
Ryder CaliC
Sam BennettC

Kraken

Victor OstmanG
Joey DaccordG
Philipp GrubauerG
Nikke KokkoG
Matt MurrayG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 56% win probability, while Panthers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

View all NHL games