PlayDecoded
Menu

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
5
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
2
PIT 56%44% FLA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenuePPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Penguins (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Penguins defeated the Panthers 5-2.

Our model predicted the Penguins would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Penguins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Penguins (back-to-back) vs Panthers (back-to-back)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Penguins won 5-2

Penguins won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Penguins at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

FLA
PIT
Home Field Advantage
Favours FLA|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Penguins

Our Model56%

Panthers

Our Model44%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/5/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Panthers

Daniil TarasovG
Sergei BobrovskyG
Anton LundellC
Eetu LuostarinenC
Vinnie HinostrozaC

Penguins

Taylor GauthierG
Arturs SilovsG
Stuart SkinnerG
Connor DewarC
Noel AcciariC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Penguins has a 56% win probability, while Panthers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.

View all NHL games