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Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Rangers logo
Rangers
New York
3
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
1
NYR 56%44% FLA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Rangers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rangers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: NYR 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

NYR home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement62%56%50%Mar 26Mar 29

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Rangers (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rangers defeated the Panthers 3-1.

Our model predicted the Rangers would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rangers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Rangers (1 day rest) vs Panthers (1 day rest)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rangers won 3-1

Rangers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rangers at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Rangers
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

FLA
NYR
Home Field Advantage
Favours FLA|Favours NYR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/29/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Panthers

Akira SchmidG
Cooper BlackG
Jacob MarkstromG
Sam ReinhartC
Luke KuninC

Rangers

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rangers has a 56% win probability, while Panthers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

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