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Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Blue Jackets logo
Blue Jackets
Columbus
4
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
2
CBJ 59%41% FLA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Columbus Blue Jackets 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Blue Jackets:

  • Home Field Advantage. Columbus Blue Jackets are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency. Columbus Blue Jackets offense (3.1 PPG) outpaces Los Angeles Kings (2.5 PPG)
  • Recent Form. Columbus Blue Jackets (31-21) in better form than Los Angeles Kings (24-22)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: CBJ 54% (−5)
  • If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: CBJ 56% (−3)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: CBJ 57% (−2)
  • If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: CBJ 59% (0)

Win probability movement

CBJ home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement64%59%54%Mar 4Mar 5

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

Make Your Prediction

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VenueNationwide Arena
Columbus, OH

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Blue Jackets (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jackets defeated the Panthers 4-2.

Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Columbus Blue Jackets are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Columbus Blue Jackets offense (3.1 PPG) outpaces Los Angeles Kings (2.5 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Columbus Blue Jackets (31-21) in better form than Los Angeles Kings (24-22)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jackets won 4-2

Blue Jackets won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blue Jackets at 59%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Recent FormFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

FLA
CBJ
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Favours FLA|Favours CBJ

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/5/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Panthers

Jacob MarkstromG
Cooper BlackG
Akira SchmidG
Sam LaffertyC
Sam BennettC

Blue Jackets

Pheonix CopleyG
Jet GreavesG
Elvis MerzlikinsG
Cam TalbotG
Sean MonahanC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blue Jackets has a 59% win probability, while Panthers has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.

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