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Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
5
vs
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
1
PIT 55%45% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenuePPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Wings (away)
Penguins (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Penguins defeated the Red Wings 5-1.

Our model predicted the Penguins would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Penguins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Red Wings rest advantage (2 days rest) over Penguins (1 day rest)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Penguins won 5-1

Penguins won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Penguins at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
PIT
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours DET|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/31/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Red Wings

Cam TalbotG
John GibsonG
Michal PostavaG
Michael RasmussenC
Mason AppletonC

Penguins

Stuart SkinnerG
Arturs SilovsG
Taylor GauthierG
Blake LizotteC
Noel AcciariC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Penguins has a 55% win probability, while Red Wings has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.

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