PlayDecoded
Menu

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
0
vs
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
0
COL 62%38% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Colorado Avalanche 62% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Avalanche:

  • Home Field Advantage. Avalanche are 6-2 at home this season; Red Wings are 2-3 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Avalanche ELO 1547 vs Red Wings ELO 1476 (diff: +71)
  • Recent Form. Avalanche (6-4) in better form than Red Wings (4-3)

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueBall Arena
Denver, CO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Wings (away)
Avalanche (home)
38%
Win probability
62%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Red Wings at Avalanche

The Red Wings visit the Avalanche at Ball Arena in Denver, CO in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Avalanche a 62% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Red Wings to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Avalanche (medium): Avalanche are 6-2 at home this season; Red Wings are 2-3 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Avalanche ELO 1547 vs Red Wings ELO 1476 (diff: +71)
  • Recent Form favors the Avalanche (low): Avalanche (6-4) in better form than Red Wings (4-3)
Avalanche62%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors COL

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
COL
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours DET|Favours COL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 8:50:03 AM

Key Players

Red Wings

Daniil TarasovG
John GibsonG
Sheldon DriesC
Mason AppletonC
Marco KasperC

Avalanche

Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Trent MinerG
Scott WedgewoodG
Gavin BrindleyC
Brock NelsonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Avalanche has a 62% win probability, while Red Wings has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.

View all NHL games