Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:
- Home Field Advantage. Golden Knights are 1-1 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Golden Knights ELO 1544 vs Blackhawks ELO 1455 (diff: +89)
- Injuries. Golden Knights less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Blackhawks players matter more
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Golden Knights defeated the Blackhawks 5-2.
Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights are 1-1 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights ELO 1544 vs Blackhawks ELO 1455 (diff: +89)
- Injuries favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Blackhaw...
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Golden Knights have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Blackhawks have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Golden Knights won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Blackhawks
Golden Knights
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Golden Knights has a 63% win probability, while Blackhawks has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.