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Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
2
vs
Blue Jackets logo
Blue Jackets
Columbus
3
PHI 56%44% CBJ
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia Flyers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Flyers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Mar 21Mar 24

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blue Jackets (away)
Flyers (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jackets defeated the Flyers 3-2.

Our model predicted the Flyers would win with 56% confidence, but the Blue Jackets won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Flyers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Flyers (0 out) vs Blue Jackets (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jackets won 2-3

Blue Jackets won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Flyers at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CBJ
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours CBJ|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/24/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Blue Jackets

Jet GreavesG
Elvis MerzlikinsG
Pheonix CopleyG
Cam TalbotG
Adam FantilliC

Flyers

Joseph WollG
Dan VladarG
Carson BjarnasonG
Aleksei KolosovG
Martin PsohlavecG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Flyers has a 56% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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