Columbus Blue Jackets at Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Kings:
- Home Field Advantage. Kings are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAK 50% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: LAK 55% (+1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: LAK 55% (+1)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: LAK 53% (−1)
Win probability movement
LAK home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kings defeated the Blue Jackets 2-1.
Our model predicted the Kings would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Kings and was a notable factor: Kings are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Blue Jackets offense (3.1 PPG) outpaces Kings (2.6 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Blue Jackets (32-21) in better form than Kings (25-22)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kings won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Kings
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Recent FormFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Blue Jackets
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 54% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL.