Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flames:
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 0-0 at home this season
- Rest Days. Flames rest advantage (4 days rest) over Blue Jackets (1 day rest)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CGY 50% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: CGY 56% (+2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CGY 55% (+1)
- If the rest edge were neutral: CGY 53% (−1)
Win probability movement
CGY home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blue Jackets defeated the Flames 5-2.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 54% confidence, but the Blue Jackets won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Flames are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Blue Jackets offense (3.1 PPG) outpaces Flames (2.4 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Blue Jackets (32-21) in better form than Flames (24-30)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blue Jackets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Recent FormFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Rest DaysFavors Calgary Flames
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Blue Jackets
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 54% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL.