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Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
5
vs
Blue Jackets logo
Blue Jackets
Columbus
1
CAR 56%44% CBJ
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Hurricanes:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

CAR home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Mar 30Apr 2

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueLenovo Center
Raleigh, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blue Jackets (away)
Hurricanes (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hurricanes defeated the Blue Jackets 5-1.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hurricanes won 5-1

Hurricanes won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CBJ
CAR
Home Field Advantage
Favours CBJ|Favours CAR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/2/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Blue Jackets

Pheonix CopleyG
Jet GreavesG
Cam TalbotG
Elvis MerzlikinsG
Isac LundestromC

Hurricanes

Brandon BussiG
Cayden PrimeauG
Amir MiftakhovG
Pyotr KochetkovG
Jesperi KotkaniemiC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Hurricanes has a 56% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

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