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Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
3
vs
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
4
STL 56%44% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

St. Louis Blues 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blues:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: STL 52% (−4)

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VenueEnterprise Center
St. Louis, MO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hurricanes (away)
Blues (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hurricanes defeated the Blues 4-3.

Our model predicted the Blues would win with 56% confidence, but the Hurricanes won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hurricanes won 3-4

Hurricanes won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Blues at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors St. Louis Blues
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
STL
Home Field Advantage
Favours CAR|Favours STL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/9/2026, 7:27:57 AM

Key Players

Hurricanes

Brandon BussiG
Cayden PrimeauG
Amir MiftakhovG
Pyotr KochetkovG
Jesperi KotkaniemiC

Blues

Georgi RomanovG
Joel HoferG
Jordan BinningtonG
Tynan LawrenceC
Dillon DubeC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blues has a 56% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.

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