Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blue Jackets:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CBJ 52% (−4)
Win probability movement
CBJ home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blue Jackets defeated the Hurricanes 5-1.
Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
- Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blue Jackets won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Hurricanes
Blue Jackets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blue Jackets has a 56% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.