Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flyers:
- Rest Days. Flyers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Bruins (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the rest edge were neutral: PHI 56% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 58% (−4)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flyers defeated the Bruins 2-1.
Our model predicted the Flyers would win with 62% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Flyers and was a major factor: Flyers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Bruins (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flyers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flyers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flyers
Bruins
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Flyers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Bruins (back-to-back)
1 factor
Key Players
Bruins
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 62% win probability, while Bruins has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.