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Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Predators logo
Predators
Nashville
6
vs
Bruins logo
Bruins
Boston
3
NSH 56%44% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Nashville Predators 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Predators:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: NSH 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

NSH home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Mar 4Mar 5

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueSAP Center at San Jose
San Jose, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bruins (away)
Predators (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Predators defeated the Bruins 6-3.

Our model predicted the Predators would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Predators and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Predators won 6-3

Predators won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Predators at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
NSH
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours NSH

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/5/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Bruins

Michael DiPietroG
Joonas KorpisaloG
Jeremy SwaymanG
Yuri IvanovG
Simon ZajicekG

Predators

Juuse SarosG
Justus AnnunenG
Isak PoschG
Oasiz WiesblattC
Ryan O'ReillyC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Predators has a 56% win probability, while Bruins has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.

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