Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:
- Home Field Advantage. Golden Knights are 2-1 at home this season; Ducks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries. Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Golden Knights ELO 1540 vs Ducks ELO 1461 (diff: +79)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ducks defeated the Golden Knights 4-3.
Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 65% confidence, but the Ducks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights are 2-1 at home this season; Ducks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights ELO 1540 vs Ducks ELO 1461 (diff: +79)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Golden Knights have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ducks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Rest DaysFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Golden Knights
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Golden Knights has a 65% win probability, while Ducks has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.