Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks
Anaheim Ducks 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ducks:
- Injuries. Ducks healthier (4 out, 0 doubtful) vs Sharks (6 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating. Sharks ELO 1429 vs Ducks ELO 1485 (diff: -56)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Sharks defeated the Ducks 10-0.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 61% confidence, but the Sharks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Ducks and was a major factor: Ducks healthier (4 out, 0 doubtful) vs Sharks (6 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Sharks ELO 1429 vs Ducks ELO 1485 (diff: -56)
- Rest Days favored the Sharks and was a contributing factor: Sharks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sharks have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Sharks won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Anaheim Ducks
- ELO RatingFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Rest DaysFavors San Jose Sharks
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Ducks healthier (4 out, 0 doubtful) vs Sharks (6 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 39% win probability, while Ducks has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.