New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Eagles defeated the Giants 20-13.
Our model predicted the Eagles would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Eagles and was a contributing factor: Philadelphia Eagles offense (5.1 YPP) outpaces New York Giants (4.8 YPP)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Giants and was a contributing factor: New York Giants defense (4.5 YPP allowed) is stronger than Philadelphia Eagles (4.9 YPP allowed)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Eagles and was a contributing factor: Philadelphia Eagles are 6-4 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Eagles won comfortably
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Eagles has a 56% win probability, while Giants has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.