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New England Patriots at New York Jets

NFLWeek 17 • regular • 2025
Final
Jets logo
Jets
New York
10
vs
Patriots logo
Patriots
New England
42
NYJ 56%44% NE
Prediction Confidence:
High

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VenueMetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Patriots (away)
Jets (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Patriots defeated the Jets 42-10.

Our model predicted the Jets would win with 56% confidence, but the Patriots pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Jets and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: New York Jets has rest advantage (7 days) over New England Patriots (6 days)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Jets56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYJ

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NE
NYJ
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours NE|Favours NYJ

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:28 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 56% win probability, while Patriots has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.

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