Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Chargers defeated the Raiders 34-20.
Our model predicted the Raiders would win with 53% confidence, but the Chargers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Raiders and was a contributing factor: Las Vegas Raiders are 3-3 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Raiders and was a contributing factor: Las Vegas Raiders defense (4.9 YPP allowed) is stronger than Los Angeles Chargers (5.2 YPP allowed)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Chargers and was a contributing factor: Los Angeles Chargers offense (4.8 YPP) outpaces Las Vegas Raiders (4.5 YPP)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Chargers won convincingly
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Raiders has a 53% win probability, while Chargers has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV.