NBA Intelligence Board
Upcoming NBA games ranked by model-market disagreement — where the model sees the most edge, why, and how confidence has shifted.
Defensive Efficiency✦ · favors LAC — Clippers defense (101.0 Opp PPG) better than Raptors (129.0 Opp PPG)
Injuries↕ · favors DET — Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
Defensive Efficiency✦ · favors IND — Pacers defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (124.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency↕ · favors BOS — Celtics offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (114.0 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors MIA — Heat offense (128.5 PPG) outpaces Timberwolves (114.0 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors GSW — Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Kings (106.5 PPG)
Model outputs are for informational purposes only. Edge is the difference between the model's win probability and vig-normalized market odds.