NBA Intelligence Board
Upcoming NBA games ranked by model-market disagreement — where the model sees the most edge, why, and how confidence has shifted.
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors TOR — Raptors offense (122.3 PPG) outpaces Pistons (115.0 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors BOS — Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors MIA — Heat offense (131.2 PPG) outpaces Magic (119.7 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors IND — Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Bucks (104.8 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors MEM — Grizzlies offense (118.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (96.0 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency↑ · favors SAS — Spurs offense (111.5 PPG) outpaces Kings (104.2 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency↕ · favors ATL — Hawks offense (119.5 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (115.3 PPG)
Offensive Efficiency↕ · favors CHI — Bulls offense (119.2 PPG) outpaces Timberwolves (116.2 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency↕ · favors NOP — Pelicans defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
Defensive Efficiency↑ · favors UTA — Jazz defense (107.7 Opp PPG) better than Suns (113.5 Opp PPG)
Defensive Efficiency✦ · favors POR — Trail Blazers defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (104.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors DEN — Nuggets offense (114.2 PPG) outpaces Lakers (107.0 PPG)
Model outputs are for informational purposes only. Edge is the difference between the model's win probability and vig-normalized market odds.