Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jazz:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 51% (−5)
- If the rest edge were neutral: UTA 56% (0)
Win probability movement
UTA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wizards defeated the Jazz 133-110.
Our model predicted the Jazz would win with 56% confidence, but the Wizards won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Jazz and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Jazz (2 days rest) vs Wizards (3 days rest)
- Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Jazz (0 out) vs Wizards (0 out)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wizards won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Jazz
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Wizards
Jazz
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jazz has a 56% win probability, while Wizards has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.