Washington Wizards at New York Knicks
New York Knicks 72% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Knicks:
- Offensive Efficiency. Knicks offense (97.0 PPG) outpaces Wizards (0.0 PPG)
- ELO Rating. Knicks ELO 1682 vs Wizards ELO 1378 (diff: +304); Wizards rating carried over from last season
- Injuries. Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wizards defeated the Knicks 111-109.
Our model predicted the Knicks would win with 72% confidence, but the Wizards pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Wizards and was a major factor: Wizards defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (120.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks offense (97.0 PPG) outpaces Wizards (0.0 PPG)
- ELO Rating favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks ELO 1682 vs Wizards ELO 1378 (diff: +304); Wizards rating carried over from last season
- The Wizards are without 2 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wizards won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors New York Knicks
- ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
- InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Knicks
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Wizards defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (120.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Knicks offense (97.0 PPG) outpaces Wizards (0.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Wizards (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Knicks ELO 1682 vs Wizards ELO 1378 (diff: +304); Wizards rating carried over from last season
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Wizards
Knicks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Knicks has a 72% win probability, while Wizards has a 28% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.