Washington Wizards at New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pelicans:
- Defensive Efficiency. Pelicans defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries. Pelicans healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Pelicans ELO 1446 vs Wizards ELO 1386 (diff: +59)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pelicans defeated the Wizards 107-106.
Our model predicted the Pelicans would win with 69% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Wizards and was a major factor: Wizards offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (111.7 PPG)
- The Wizards are without 2 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pelicans won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New Orleans Pelicans
- InjuriesFavors New Orleans Pelicans
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
- ELO RatingFavors New Orleans Pelicans
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Rest DaysFavors New Orleans Pelicans
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Pelicans defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Wizards offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (111.7 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Pelicans turnover differential (+0) vs Wizards (+0)
Injuries
Pelicans healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Wizards
Pelicans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pelicans has a 69% win probability, while Wizards has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.