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Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics

NBAregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Celtics logo
Celtics
Boston
111
vs
Wizards logo
Wizards
Washington
100
BOS 56%44% WSH
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Celtics 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Celtics:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: BOS 52% (−4)

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VenueTD Garden
Boston, MA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wizards (away)
Celtics (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Celtics defeated the Wizards 111-100.

Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Celtics and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Celtics (0 out) vs Wizards (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Rest days data not available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Celtics won 111-100

Celtics won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Celtics at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Celtics
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WSH
BOS
Home Field Advantage
Favours WSH|Favours BOS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/14/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Wizards

Trae YoungG
Will RileyG
Reece BeekmanG
Bub CarringtonG
Bilal CoulibalyG

Celtics

Baylor ScheiermanG
Payton PritchardG
Ron Harper Jr.G
Jordan WalshG
Hayden GrayG

Frequently Asked Questions

Celtics has a 56% win probability, while Wizards has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.

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