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Utah Jazz at Sacramento Kings

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Kings logo
Kings
Sacramento
116
vs
Jazz logo
Jazz
Utah
111
SAC 48%52% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGolden 1 Center
Sacramento, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jazz (away)
Kings (home)
52%
Win probability
48%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kings defeated the Jazz 116-111.

Our model predicted the Jazz would win with 52% confidence, but the Kings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a major factor: Jazz offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.6 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Kings and was a major factor: Kings defense (120.9 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (125.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kings and was a notable factor: Kings are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kings won 116-111

Kings won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Jazz at 52%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
SAC
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours UTA|Favours SAC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Jazz offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.6 PPG)

Jazz

Defensive Efficiency

Kings defense (120.9 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (125.0 Opp PPG)

Kings

Recent Form

Jazz (20-47) in better form than Kings (16-51)

Jazz

Turnover Differential

Kings turnover differential (+0) vs Jazz (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/15/2026, 8:30:05 AM

Key Players

Jazz

Ace BaileyG
Isaiah CollierG
Keyonte GeorgeG
Hayden GrayG
Elijah HarklessG

Kings

Nique CliffordG
Isaiah StevensG
Russell WestbrookG
Daeqwon PlowdenG
Patrick Baldwin Jr.G

Frequently Asked Questions

Kings has a 48% win probability, while Jazz has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA.

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