Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves 84% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (115.2 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.9 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Timberwolves (41-27) in better form than Jazz (20-48)
- Home Field Advantage. Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 65% (−19)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: MIN 75% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 77% (−7)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 77% (−7)
Win probability movement
MIN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Timberwolves defeated the Jazz 147-111.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 84% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves defense (115.2 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.9 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves (41-27) in better form than Jazz (20-48)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Timberwolves won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Timberwolves defense (115.2 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.9 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Timberwolves (41-27) in better form than Jazz (20-48)
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Jazz (117.3 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Timberwolves turnover differential (+0) vs Jazz (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Jazz
Timberwolves
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Timberwolves has a 84% win probability, while Jazz has a 16% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.