San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz 75% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Jazz:
- Defensive Efficiency. Jazz defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (112.5 Opp PPG)
- Injuries. Jazz less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Spurs 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Spurs players matter more
- Home Field Advantage. Jazz are 0-1 at home this season; Spurs are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jazz defeated the Spurs 119-109.
Our model predicted the Jazz would win with 75% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a major factor: Jazz defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (112.5 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Jazz and was a major factor: Jazz less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Spurs 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Spurs players matter more
- ELO Rating favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Jazz ELO 1347 vs Spurs ELO 1640 (diff: -293)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Jazz have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Spurs have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jazz won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- InjuriesFavors Utah Jazz
- ELO RatingFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Jazz
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Jazz defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (112.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Jazz offense (107.5 PPG) outpaces Spurs (107.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Jazz turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)
Injuries
Jazz less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Spurs 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Spurs players matter more
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Jazz ELO 1347 vs Spurs ELO 1640 (diff: -293)
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Spurs
Jazz
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jazz has a 75% win probability, while Spurs has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.