San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns 51% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Suns:
- Offensive Efficiency. Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Spurs (0.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Standard home-field edge for Suns (no home or road games yet this season)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Spurs at Suns
The Spurs visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2027-2028 NBA preseason play.
Our model gives the Suns a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Spurs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Suns (high): Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Spurs (0.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Spurs (high): Spurs defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (109.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Spurs (medium): Suns ELO 1530 vs Spurs ELO 1662 (diff: -132); Spurs rating carried over from last season
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Phoenix Suns
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- ELO RatingFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Phoenix Suns
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Spurs (0.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (109.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Spurs
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 51% win probability, while Spurs has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.