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San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks

NBAregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
114
vs
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
89
NYK 50%50% SAS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

San Antonio Spurs 50% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Spurs:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Spurs offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (117.1 PPG)
  • Recent Form. Spurs (43-16) in better form than Knicks (37-22)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 46% (−4)
  • If the home-field edge were neutral: SAS 54% (+4)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: SAS 49% (−1)
  • If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 50% (0)

Make Your Prediction

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Spurs (away)
Knicks (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Knicks defeated the Spurs 114-89.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 50% confidence, but the Knicks won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (117.1 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Knicks and was a notable factor: Knicks are 0-0 at home this season
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (43-16) in better form than Knicks (37-22)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Knicks won 114-89

Knicks won in a blowout

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Spurs at 50%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Knicks
  • Recent FormFavors San Antonio Spurs
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAS
NYK
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Favours SAS|Favours NYK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:20:11 PM

Key Players

Spurs

Jordan McLaughlinG
Devin VassellG
Jon ElmoreG
Ja'Kobi GillespieG
Taelon PeterG

Knicks

Jordan ClarksonG
Bruce BrownG
Jalen BrunsonG
Jose AlvaradoG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G

Frequently Asked Questions

Knicks has a 50% win probability, while Spurs has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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