San Antonio Spurs at LA Clippers
San Antonio Spurs 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Spurs:
- Offensive Efficiency. Spurs offense (118.9 PPG) outpaces Clippers (113.5 PPG)
- Recent Form. Spurs (49-18) in better form than Clippers (34-33)
- Defensive Efficiency. Spurs defense (111.8 Opp PPG) better than Clippers (112.6 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 51% (−20)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: SAS 64% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SAS 70% (−1)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 65% (−6)
Win probability movement
LAC home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Spurs defeated the Clippers 119-115.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.9 PPG) outpaces Clippers (113.5 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (49-18) in better form than Clippers (34-33)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Clippers and was a contributing factor: Clippers are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Spurs won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Recent FormFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Home Field AdvantageFavors LA Clippers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Spurs offense (118.9 PPG) outpaces Clippers (113.5 PPG)
Recent Form
Spurs (49-18) in better form than Clippers (34-33)
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (111.8 Opp PPG) better than Clippers (112.6 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Clippers turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Spurs
Clippers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Clippers has a 29% win probability, while Spurs has a 71% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA.