San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets
San Antonio Spurs 85% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Spurs:
- Offensive Efficiency. Spurs offense (118.2 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Spurs defense (111.4 Opp PPG) better than Nets (115.7 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Spurs (46-17) in better form than Nets (15-47)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 67% (−18)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: SAS 71% (−14)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: SAS 74% (−11)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SAS 83% (−2)
Make Your Prediction
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Nets defeated the Spurs 138-118.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 85% confidence, but the Nets won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.2 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.4 Opp PPG) better than Nets (115.7 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs (46-17) in better form than Nets (15-47)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Nets won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Recent FormFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Brooklyn Nets
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Spurs offense (118.2 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.8 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (111.4 Opp PPG) better than Nets (115.7 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Spurs (46-17) in better form than Nets (15-47)
Turnover Differential
Nets turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Spurs
Nets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Nets has a 15% win probability, while Spurs has a 85% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.