Portland Trail Blazers at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers 64% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.7 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (115.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 59% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 59% (−5)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 60% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 61% (−3)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Trail Blazers 109-103.
Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 64% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.7 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers offense (115.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Trail Blazers
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 64% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.