Portland Trail Blazers at Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves 78% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (118.4 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (114.9 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.3 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 65% (−13)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 68% (−10)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 71% (−7)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: MIN 72% (−6)
Win probability movement
MIN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Trail Blazers defeated the Timberwolves 108-104.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 78% confidence, but the Trail Blazers won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves offense (118.4 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves defense (114.9 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.3 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Trail Blazers won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Trail Blazers
Timberwolves
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Timberwolves has a 78% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 22% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.