Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors
Portland Trail Blazers 84% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Trail Blazers:
- Defensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (104.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Warriors (111.0 PPG)
- Injuries. Trail Blazers healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 3 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Warriors defeated the Trail Blazers 128-118.
Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 84% confidence, but the Warriors pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (104.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Warriors (111.0 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Trail Blazers and was a notable factor: Trail Blazers healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Warriors have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Trail Blazers have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Warriors won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- InjuriesFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Golden State Warriors
- ELO RatingFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (104.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Warriors (111.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Warriors turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Trail Blazers
Warriors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Warriors has a 16% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 84% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.