Portland Trail Blazers at Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets 75% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hornets:
- Defensive Efficiency. Hornets defense (113.4 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (118.2 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Hornets are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form. Hornets (29-31) in better form than Trail Blazers (29-31)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: CHA 58% (−17)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CHA 69% (−6)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CHA 71% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: CHA 71% (−4)
Make Your Prediction
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hornets defeated the Trail Blazers 109-93.
Our model predicted the Hornets would win with 75% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a major factor: Hornets defense (113.4 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (118.2 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hornets and was a notable factor: Hornets are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the Hornets and was a contributing factor: Hornets (29-31) in better form than Trail Blazers (29-31)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hornets won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Recent FormFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Charlotte Hornets
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Hornets defense (113.4 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (118.2 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Hornets (29-31) in better form than Trail Blazers (29-31)
Offensive Efficiency
Hornets offense (116.2 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.8 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Hornets turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Trail Blazers
Hornets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hornets has a 75% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.