Portland Trail Blazers at Brooklyn Nets
Portland Trail Blazers 63% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Trail Blazers:
- Offensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers offense (115.2 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.9 PPG)
- Recent Form. Trail Blazers (32-35) in better form than Nets (17-50)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: POR 42% (−21)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: POR 66% (+3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: POR 57% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: POR 64% (+1)
Win probability movement
BKN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Trail Blazers defeated the Nets 114-95.
Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers offense (115.2 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.9 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Nets and was a notable factor: Nets defense (115.6 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.7 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Trail Blazers and was a contributing factor: Trail Blazers (32-35) in better form than Nets (17-50)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Trail Blazers won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Brooklyn Nets
- Recent FormFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Brooklyn Nets
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers offense (115.2 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.9 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Nets defense (115.6 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.7 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Trail Blazers (32-35) in better form than Nets (17-50)
Turnover Differential
Nets turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Trail Blazers
Nets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Nets has a 37% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY.