Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pistons:
- Home Field Advantage. Standard home-field edge for Pistons (no home or road games yet this season)
- Injuries. Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Suns 1 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Pistons ELO 1571 vs Suns ELO 1523 (diff: +47); both ratings carried over from last season
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pistons defeated the Suns 109-107.
Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Pistons and was a notable factor: Standard home-field edge for Pistons (no home or road games yet this season)
- Injuries favored the Pistons and was a contributing factor: Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Suns 1 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Pistons and was a contributing factor: Pistons ELO 1571 vs Suns ELO 1523 (diff: +47); both ratings carried over from last season
- The Suns are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pistons won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Pistons
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Pistons
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Pistons
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Suns
Pistons
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pistons has a 61% win probability, while Suns has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.