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Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls

NBApreseason • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Bulls logo
Bulls
Chicago
124
vs
Suns logo
Suns
Phoenix
117
CHI 53%47% PHX
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Bulls 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Bulls:

  • Defensive Efficiency. Bulls defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (109.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage. First home game of the season for Bulls; Suns are 0-1 on the road

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VenueUnited Center
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Suns (away)
Bulls (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
1
High-impact factors
1
1
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bulls defeated the Suns 124-117.

Our model predicted the Bulls would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Bulls and was a major factor: Bulls defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (109.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Suns and was a major factor: Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (0.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Bulls and was a notable factor: First home game of the season for Bulls; Suns are 0-1 on the road
  • The Suns are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Bulls won 124-117

Bulls won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Bulls at 53%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Bulls
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Phoenix Suns
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bulls
  • ELO RatingFavors Phoenix Suns
  • InjuriesFavors Phoenix Suns
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHX
CHI
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Injuries
Favours PHX|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Bulls defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Suns (109.0 Opp PPG)

Bulls

Offensive Efficiency

Suns offense (107.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (0.0 PPG)

Suns

Turnover Differential

Bulls turnover differential (+0) vs Suns (+0)

Neutral

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/7/2026, 11:45:02 PM

Bulls

Nic ClaxtonC(Hamstring)
QUESTIONABLE
Zach CollinsF(Toe)
QUESTIONABLE
Jaylin SellersG(Back)
QUESTIONABLE
Tre JonesG(Hip)
QUESTIONABLE

Suns

Mark WilliamsC(Shoulder)
OUT

Key Players

Suns

Pat SpencerG
Luke KennardG
Devin BookerG
Jamaree BouyeaG
Koby BreaG

Bulls

Buddy HieldG
Norman PowellG
Dailyn SwainG
Tre JonesGQUESTIONABLE
Josh GiddeyG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Bulls has a 53% win probability, while Suns has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.

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