Philadelphia 76ers at Utah Jazz
Philadelphia 76ers 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. 76ers (38-32) in better form than Jazz (21-49)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 43% (−21)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 67% (+3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 57% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 65% (+1)
Win probability movement
UTA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Jazz 126-116.
Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 64% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a notable factor: Jazz offense (117.2 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.3 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers (38-32) in better form than Jazz (21-49)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- Recent FormFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Jazz
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Jazz offense (117.2 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.3 PPG)
Recent Form
76ers (38-32) in better form than Jazz (21-49)
Turnover Differential
Jazz turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
76ers
Jazz
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jazz has a 36% win probability, while 76ers has a 64% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.